Trump Cuts Biden’s Lead In Arizona To Under 50,000


New vote totals released in Arizona on Thursday evening narrowed the gap between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden, a rare hopeful sign for the Trump campaign with his lead in Georgia and Pennsylvania dramatically diminishing.

Key Facts

Biden leads Trump by 46,257 votes, according to the latest update from the Arizona Secretary of State, down from 56,833 votes before the update.

All of the votes in the update came from Maricopa County, the most populous county in the state.

Around 75,000 votes were counted in the latest update, but around 200,000 ballots are believed to still be outstanding from Maricopa, according to FiveThirtyEight.

What To Watch For

Biden’s lead may be shrinking in Arizona in the battle for the state’s 11 electoral votes, but Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes) has dropped significantly while his lead in Georgia (16 electoral votes) had all but evaporated by Thursday evening. Even if Trump were to win Arizona, losing Pennsylvania would give Biden the presidency.

Key Background

The Associated Press declared Biden the winner in Arizona early on Wednesday morning, when his lead in the vote count was much larger—around 5 percentage points. Fox News also called the race for Biden, a move which reportedly infuriated Trump, who regularly makes appearances on the conservative-leaning network.

Chief Critic

Nate Silver, a data journalist who founded FiveThirtyEight, argued that Fox News and the AP should retract their Biden projections, saying “I sure as heck don’t think the state should have been called by anyone.”

Further Reading

Trump’s Pennsylvania Lead Slips Below 1% With Mail-In Ballots Favoring Biden (Forbes)

Trump’s Lead Over Biden In Georgia Cut To 2,500 Votes (Forbes)

EXPLAINER: Why AP called Arizona for Biden (The Associated Press)

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